The HEXBIRD Analytic Standard

The HEXBIRD Analytic Standard is a structured framework for producing careful, evidence-based aviation intelligence.

What it is

The Analytic Standard brings together established analytical best practices, empirical methods, structured analytic techniques, and relevant UK and US intelligence-analysis frameworks. HEXBIRD adapts those ideas to aviation and geospatial data, where incomplete sensor coverage, changing identities, archive limits, and shared source lineage can materially affect a conclusion.

Its purpose is to make substantial analysis more rigorous and trustworthy. In practical terms, that means keeping evidence distinct from inference, considering credible alternatives, stating uncertainty clearly, and preserving enough sourcing for important conclusions to be checked.

The Standard is not a fixed report template. It is applied proportionately: a focused answer can use it without becoming a long formal product, while a consequential investigation may require more visible structure and support.

When to use it

The Standard is appropriate when you want a more formal, structured, or high-value investigation or report. That includes evaluating whether a pattern is genuinely unusual, comparing competing explanations, producing a durable assessment or briefing, supporting a consequential decision, or conducting substantial multi-source research.

It is generally unnecessary for factual lookups, query construction, straightforward source summaries, or other requests that require little interpretation.

How to use it

Agents using HEXBIRD will apply the Standard automatically when they judge that a question calls for substantial analysis. They will scale it to the task rather than forcing every answer into the same format.

You can also invoke it explicitly by saying "Use the HEXBIRD Analytic Standard."

The complete agent-facing Standard is available to agents using HEXBIRD at hexbird://analytic-standard. This page describes when and why to use it rather than reproducing its requirements.